The Times to charge for onine content later this year

The Times and The Sunday Times will start charging for online content later this year. Readers will be offered a week’s subscription for £2, or a day’s access for £1, to two new sites, www.thetimes.co.uk and www.sundaytimes.co.uk.  Existing subscribers to the print editions will be given free online access. International pricing has been set at $2/€1.5 a day or $4/€3 for a week.  Last August Rupert Murdoch announced plans to charge for all the newspapers’ websites. This move was referred to as a ‘defining moment for journalism..’ presumably because bold steps are required to attempt to reverse what has become the accepted model of free online news and to charge a fee for the ‘value’ it represents.

Times Online — which includes The Times and The Sunday Times — has c. 20 million monthly unique visitors. The print edition of The Times has 1.7 million readers and The Sunday Times has 3.2 million readers.

Newspaper publishers are desperate for new business models to compensate for declining ad revenues. In January The New York Times said that it would charge for access to its website and The Financial Times and The Wall Street Journal already have online subscription models.    The New York Times plans to introduce a ‘metred’ model where a reader is charged after accessing a set number  of free articles every month.

The Guardian said it will not charge for online access while certain papers, such as London's Evening Standard has abandoned readership revenue and made print editions free.

The NYT's publisher, Arthur Sulzberger, agreed that the strategy is not without risk: "This is a bet, to a certain degree, in where we think the web is going."  But like many newspapers, the New York Times is in the midst of a financial storm. Its parent company, the New York Times Company, owns 15 papers, including the International Herald Tribune and the Boston Globe, and sustained a loss of $70m in the nine months to September last.  It recently accepted a $250m loan from Carlos Slim, the Mexican billionaire, to strenghten its balance sheet.

For publishers, internet charges are a dilemma.  Online promotions are likely to fall dramatically with the advent of paid for subscriptions, which may make newspaper websites less appealing to advertisers.

The New York Times has experienced difficulties with paid for online access in the past -  some of their well known columnists objected on the grounds that many readers, especially in developing countries, would not be able to afford to read their important content.

Critics, including Arianna Huffington of the Huffington Post, believe charges to access online content will not work because there is already so much free content available in cyberspace. She said last year: "Unless you're selling porn, and especially very weird porn‚ online subscriptions are a dead loss."

The iPad, the Kindle and the Future of Digital Publishing

Reading books on the iPad

Apple’s iPad is giving ebook downloads a huge boost – 300,000 iPads were sold on the first day of its launch and more than 250,000 books were downloaded.  Apple’s Steve Jobs said "iPad users, on average, downloaded more than three apps and close to one book within hours of unpacking their new iPad."  The iPad will be available in UK at the end of April and there is huge speculation as to its impact on the ebook and e-reader markets.

Pricing models and agreements with publishers are known unknowns right now and not all publishers will have digital content available via Amazon unless they can reach agreement with the online retailer. On the positive side for ebook buyers, some commentators say the expected intense competition between Apple’s iBookstore and Amazon might help keep prices down, though this may not logically follow as not many people are expected to own both an iPad and the Kindle – the strong competition may help improve the performance of e-readers but  may in the short term help the alter the price points of ebooks  - it may be of more commercial benefit to publishers.   

Apple’s store currently offers  c. 90,000 titles (30,000 of which are available free of charge) whereas the Kindle has about 450,000 – this imbalance will change over the coming year.  The key point among all these figures is that the volume of e-reader sales (including the iPad) and ebooks for sale would strongly suggest a good future for digital publishing.

Ebook Pricing an Unknown Quantity

A survey of 840 international industry representatives conducted at this year’s Frankfurt Book Fair, in cooperation with buchreport and Publishers Weekly, confirms the lack of consensus in the publishing industry as far as ebook pricing is concerned. While most publishers suggested that ebooks should be cheaper than the same (or equivalent) print version, the range of the discount suggested by publishers varies enormously.

The responses reflect, I believe, the wide range of publishing experience, types of book and level of sophistication in pricing calculations (including gut feel favoured by many publishers). The responses raise a number of questions about ebook pricing:

Do publishers start from a position where they strip out print and distribution costs and thereafter price to achieve the same margins as print – or do they see this as an opportunity to squeeze higher margins?

Do they give a little more discount to reflect the absence of returns – ie to take account of books which otherwise would be returned to the publisher from booksellers in exchange for a refund ?

Do they – following any discount to relect zero print and distribution costs – add back in a percentage to reflect the cost associated with piracy risk?

Are the growing number of conusmers who are used to purchasing music, say, off iTunes, more inclined to favour a flat-rate price – like on Amazon front list titles?

Another consideration – linked to the piracy consideration, but from the consumer /reader side – is whether a discount should be factored in to allow for limited usage of an ebook. If a ebook is made difficult to share then can it be considered by the consumer as a less useful product? ....on the other hand if you believe that the sharing of print books leads to increased sales of books, then the restricted sharing opportunities of ebooks should lead to a more shallow discount to maintain margin.

The point I’m illustrating here is that ebook pricing is not so scientific (yet)! Other known unknowns – I believe – could be in the variable cost of sale of using different channels and formats ; how far publishers will consider use of advertising revenue – e.g. like Spotify for music – in exchange for ‘free’ to end-user content; subscription rates buying consumers access to whole /sections of publishers’ catalogues ; whether mobile access to ebook content should in fact be at a premium, rather than discount, to the print.

Here are the results of the survey:

The price for an e-book should be:

More than the printed book: 4% of respondents
Same as the printed book 15% of respondents
10 per cent cheaper than the printed book 11% of respondents
20 per cent cheaper 17% of respondents
30 per cent cheaper 14% of respondents
More than 30 per cent cheaper 16% of respondents
A standard price as with Amazon ($9.99) 15% of respondents
Other price model 6% of respondents

Sony Ebook Reader at The London Book Fair

This week I attended some sessions on ebook readers, epublishing standards and digital marketing at the London Book Fair (aka The LBF).

Sony were very optimistic about the prospects for their ebook reader and explained how their ability to enter the market successfully - though it's still early days - was as a result of their collaboration with a number of key players including the retailer Waterstones, the International Digital Publishing Forum (idpf), Penguin and Google. Sony is a pioneer and innovator in consumer electronics - it also knows all about making, owning and selling content in the music and film industries - and the thorny issues of IP and copyright, but the book industry represents a departure from their traditional comfort zones and clever partnering is essential.

If Google is an advocate of the Sony reader then that will surely add a lot of weight to the manufacturer’s campaign to succeed in this space. Google may still be persona non grata for some publishers but it’s the readers and consumers who count here and the recent Google Booksearch settlement agreement reached between the search company and the US book publishing industry should encourage publishers to move on and focus efforts and energy on creating new ebook products and services. That is to say once the settlement has cleared the remaining obstacles: opt outs, objections, and a final hearing the deadlines of which have just been extended several months, in the case of the Final Hearing until the week before the Frankfurt Book Fair.

Sony trod carefully given the august LBF audience, and while not wishing to upset those underwhelmed by the propsect of ebooks, they did a good job of making publishers sit up and take note. Graphs, stats and images illustrating the crisis in the newspaper industry paved the way for a discussion about emerging business models for books and content, the inevitability of ebooks as a medium and the opportunities they present for publishers wanting to develop complementary and new sales channels.

According to Sony’s research, users of their ebook reader are buying a lot of books around the key holiday times and are particularly attracted to the device as a way of travelling light but with all the books you want.

They also discussed ebook formats in particular the EPUB format - I shall post on this soon.

Some brave person from the digital community commented on the size of the seminar theatre in the Digital Zone of the LBF - it was approximately the size of a waiting room at a small dental surgery. Says something about the relative importance of digital at the London Book Fair - it's growing but should that be renamed the London eBook Fear..?