Women and cyber piracy

According to an article in the London Evening Standard this week, a survey by the law firm Wiggin said that one in eight femail ebook readers over the age of 35 has admitted to downloading pirated version of books. Until now the domain of the male of the species.. the growing popularity of ebooks has shifted the profile of the internet pirate..

An entrepreneur's view of ebooks and the publishing market

The economics and business model of ebooks has caught the attention of entrepreneur Luke Johnson who runs the private equity firm Risk Capital Partners. He’s also a NED at publisher Phaidon so is well placed to reflect on this fast moving market – though he acknowledges that Phaidon – art, cookery, illustrated books may be less affected by this technological and market change for the time being. He has also recently written several books and where content is time sensitive, as for example with business books, waiting a year from manuscript to bookshop is ‘ludicrous’. Here are some of his reflections, predictions which can be found in full on FT.com Wednesday May 11, 2011.

- In the US, digital sales are at least 20% of large publishers’ revenues and growing fast.

- Authors generally receive 25% royalties on ebooks (15% for print) – given the much larger gross margins of ebooks, publishers need to start sharing more of this revenue with authors – in the meantime publishers such as Penguin are recording huge profits by maintaining ebook price points close to or at the level of print.

- Publishers could be missing a trick – the huge number of English speakers and readers who do not currently buy books but who might if prices were right – in other words a volume opportunity around much lower price points.

- There are of course challenges – piracy is a fear , as is the disappearance of high street bookstores; the increased dominance of Amazon; growing use of devices such as Kindle and iPad and other ebook readers; and decreasing importance of libraries will all contribute to an urgent need to re-think publishing business models and skills (e.g. SEO - Search Engine Optimisation).

- Good publishing brands (perhaps series too) can find success – Johnson cites the Dummies series where a reader is unlikely to know an author’s name but will likely own several copies of the series.

- Overall, he sees huge opportunities and threats as well as consolidation and upstarts coming from nowhere.

- Comment – an interesting perspective and good to see a concise update on some of the key issues from someone with broad business experience, not just of the publishing world. I think I would question the longer term viability – as he sees it – of illustrated books over other genres - it will be very interesting to see if the high quality format of illustrated books will be replaced by digital.. seeing how comfortable particularly younger readers are to read magazine content and view images online, am not sure the illustrated book is as safe as Johnson suggests. The opportunity is to consider how digital can enhance further the beauty, look and feel of illustrated print titles.. take a look at Touch Press titles to see what can be achieved...

Google Book Search Settlement Agreement

Google reached agreement with American authors and publishers last October in their dispute over the Google Book Search project in which millions of books were made available online. The settlement reached between the parties will allow Google to sell digital versions of copyrighted works that are out of print. The deal is at this stage restricted to the USA and there are some more hoops to jump through yet, but this is a significant move forward for Google. It should be for the publishers too if they manage to put the dispute behind them and, with the flexibility the agreement gives them, start exploring creative ways to develop new products and revenue streams, harnessing the reach and power of Google’s technology.

The settlement with the Author’s Guild is worth US $125 million, US $34.4 million of which will help fund the Book Rights Registry, a copyright collective that will pay authors, their heirs or publishers a share of the profits made by Google. Authors and other owners of copyrighted but out of print books can submit claims to Google before beginning of next year in return for a payment. Google will be able to index the books and display text samples in search results and up to 20% of each book as a preview. Authors and copyright holders will share 63% of advertising and e-commerce revenues associated with their works. The US$125 million is hardly going to break Google’s bank and critics of the project and the settlement may still think that Google have achieved this position by stealth, but publishers are not forced to participate but those which do will help shape an important new marketplace for books.

The agreement broadly covers usage of three types of groups of books:

1 In-copyright and in-print books
By turning on the "preview" and "purchase" models that make their titles more easily available through Book Search, authors and publishers have the potential to grow the online marketplace for their in-print books.

2 In-copyright but out-of-print books
Out-of-print books aren’t actively being published or sold, so the only way to procure one is to track it down in a library or secondhand. This agreement would see every out-of-print book digitized in Google Book Search become available online for preview and purchase, unless the author or publisher chooses to "turn off" that title. Advantage: to enable authors and publishers to earn money from titles considered to be commercially defunct.

3 Out-of-copyright books
Google will continue to allow Book Search users to read, download and print these titles, just as they already do now.

Book publishers aren’t alone in facing up to the challenges of digital. The Google Book Search project is symptomatic of the massive change creative industries are going through, best example of which is the threat to music industry publishers from file sharing sites and digital piracy. We can’t turn back the clock – ebooks are here to stay and we have to learn to how to work with them and tease out the best business models. We can wrap them up in security but that hasn’t helped the music industry particularly; the reality is that hackers will sooner or later break any DRM (security system protecting digital content) – however sophisticated. Some say that the illegal sharing of music online can have the net (forgive the pun) effect of increasing sales of an artist’s albums and other revenues e.g. concert tickets – in other words it’s a type of online marketing for for an artist and if carefully managed it can work. It’s an approach not without risk but the music industry isn’t dead yet and people are still paying to go the cinema, to watch films online and to own DVDs.

For the book industry, the loss of revenue from piracy is not something new. All around the world photocopy shops line the backstreets near universities, busily ‘publishing’ rip-off versions of popular textbooks; in some markets this has lead publishers to price local editions to compete with pirated photocopies. Here though it’s the illegal sharing or selling of digital books that the publishing industry is trying to deal with. Producing a pirated digital copy is a relatively easy task; consider the low cost of scanning from the print (or the procurement of an illegal digital copy from an unscrupulous printer or freelance production person..), not forgetting the close to zero marginal cost of production and distribution.

Publishers can either try to stamp out pirated versions of their copyright (exercise in futility?) while promoting official print titles, or make their own ebooks available in multiple formats for PCs, MACs, the best ebook readers, priced fairly and with a range of options, for example print and ebook combinations, individual chapter sales, subscriptions, sample chapters for free, author interviews, updates. No model has emerged as a winner yet – it’s still early days but ebook sales are growing fast and publishers need to respond to this demand. At the London Book Fair representatives from Sony discussed the prospect of ebook sales overtaking print in terms of when, rather than if.

A final thought on publishers’ uncertainty about the Google Book Search: consider Tim O’Reilly’s comment about the biggest problem facing writers – and by extension their publishers: obscurity – not piracy. Now Mr O’Reilly sells a lot of books and he’s not advocating just giving them all away, but by using the internet and ebooks to make more titles always available (never Out of Print), easier to find and sample, and for sale in multiple formats, projects like Google Book Search should give publishers more options when considering new ways to reach readers with new (and old) books and authors.